Celta vs Juventus: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Celta26th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Juventus1st, 3 pts
27%Celta win
25%Draw
48%Juventus win
The model gives Celta a 27% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Juventus 48%. Celta's chance of going through is 64% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 53%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celta: top 8 | Celta: through | Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 64% | 81% | 99% |
| Celta win | 21% | 84% | 66% | 98% |
| Draw | 8% | 65% | 78% | >99% |
| Juventus win | 4% | 53% | 91% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş