Marseille vs Olympiacos: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Marseille32nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Olympiacos13th, 3 pts
50%Marseille win
25%Draw
25%Olympiacos win
The model gives Marseille a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Olympiacos 25%. Marseille's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 68%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Marseille: top 8 | Marseille: through | Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 22% | 82% | 36% | 91% |
| Marseille win | 34% | 92% | 24% | 86% |
| Draw | 14% | 78% | 37% | 92% |
| Olympiacos win | 8% | 68% | 58% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş