Celje vs Omonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Celje31st, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Omonia15th, 3 pts
44%Celje win
26%Draw
30%Omonia win
The model gives Celje a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Omonia 30%. Celje's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 56%, a defeat to 22%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 30%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celje: top 8 | Celje: through | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 40% | 4% | 46% |
| Celje win | 5% | 56% | 1% | 30% |
| Draw | 1% | 32% | 2% | 45% |
| Omonia win | 1% | 22% | 8% | 70% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş