Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
–Matchday 4
Hoffenheim29th, 0 pts
47%Crystal Palace win
26%Draw
28%Hoffenheim win
The model gives Crystal Palace a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Hoffenheim 28%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 87%. Hoffenheim's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 61%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | Hoffenheim: top 8 | Hoffenheim: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 45% | 94% | 14% | 71% |
| Crystal Palace win | 60% | 98% | 7% | 61% |
| Draw | 37% | 92% | 11% | 72% |
| Hoffenheim win | 27% | 87% | 28% | 88% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Milan – Ferencváros
- Sparta Praha – Bournemouth
- Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Omonia
- Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia
- Real Sociedad – Lyon
- Anderlecht – Salzburg
- Rennes – Olympiacos
- AZ Alkmaar – Juventus
- Leverkusen – Marseille
- Celtic – Beşiktaş
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete
- Celta – Union SG
- Torreense – Ararat-Armenia
- Sturm Graz – Celje
- Benfica – Lech Poznań
- Sunderland – GNK Dinamo