Lillestrøm vs Viktoria Plzeň: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
Lillestrøm24th, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
31%Lillestrøm win
26%Draw
43%Viktoria Plzeň win
The model gives Lillestrøm a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Viktoria Plzeň 43%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 15% now: a win would take it to 29%, a defeat to 7%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 67%, a defeat to 30%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 15% | 4% | 49% |
| Lillestrøm win | 1% | 29% | 1% | 30% |
| Draw | <1% | 12% | 2% | 43% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | <1% | 7% | 8% | 67% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
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