Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
Sparta Praha3rd, 3 pts
–Matchday 4
Bournemouth12th, 3 pts
33%Sparta Praha win
26%Draw
41%Bournemouth win
The model gives Sparta Praha a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Bournemouth 41%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 73%. Bournemouth's chance of going through is 97% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 94%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | Bournemouth: top 8 | Bournemouth: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 83% | 57% | 97% |
| Sparta Praha win | 39% | 95% | 39% | 94% |
| Draw | 19% | 83% | 53% | 97% |
| Bournemouth win | 12% | 73% | 75% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
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