Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
Beşiktaş4th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
36%Beşiktaş win
26%Draw
38%Crystal Palace win
The model gives Beşiktaş a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Crystal Palace 38%. Beşiktaş's chance of going through is 85% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 76%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Beşiktaş: top 8 | Beşiktaş: through | Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 25% | 85% | 45% | 94% |
| Beşiktaş win | 42% | 95% | 29% | 88% |
| Draw | 21% | 85% | 41% | 94% |
| Crystal Palace win | 13% | 76% | 63% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon