Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
Lillestrøm24th, 0 pts
–Matchday 3
Real Sociedad22nd, 0 pts
21%Lillestrøm win
24%Draw
55%Real Sociedad win
The model gives Lillestrøm a 21% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Real Sociedad 55%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 15% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 8%. Real Sociedad's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 50%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | Real Sociedad: top 8 | Real Sociedad: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 15% | 12% | 71% |
| Lillestrøm win | 1% | 33% | 3% | 50% |
| Draw | <1% | 14% | 6% | 63% |
| Real Sociedad win | <1% | 8% | 18% | 82% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon