Juventus vs Rennes: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
Juventus1st, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Rennes17th, 1 pts
63%Juventus win
21%Draw
16%Rennes win
The model gives Juventus a 63% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Rennes 16%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. Rennes's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 79%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 81% | 99% | 23% | 83% |
| Juventus win | 89% | >99% | 15% | 79% |
| Draw | 73% | 99% | 26% | 87% |
| Rennes win | 60% | 98% | 47% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon