Ferencváros vs Torreense: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
Ferencváros6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Torreense11th, 3 pts
58%Ferencváros win
23%Draw
19%Torreense win
The model gives Ferencváros a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Torreense 19%. Ferencváros's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 64%. Torreense's chance of going through is 60% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 50%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ferencváros: top 8 | Ferencváros: through | Torreense: top 8 | Torreense: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 20% | 83% | 7% | 60% |
| Ferencváros win | 28% | 92% | 4% | 50% |
| Draw | 12% | 75% | 7% | 64% |
| Torreense win | 7% | 64% | 19% | 86% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon