Omonia vs Benfica: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
Omonia15th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Benfica7th, 3 pts
16%Omonia win
22%Draw
62%Benfica win
The model gives Omonia a 16% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Benfica 62%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 74%, a defeat to 37%. Benfica's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | Benfica: top 8 | Benfica: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 46% | 82% | 99% |
| Omonia win | 11% | 74% | 62% | 98% |
| Draw | 3% | 50% | 74% | 99% |
| Benfica win | 2% | 37% | 90% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Hoffenheim – Lyon