Real Sociedad vs Viktoria Plzeň: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
Real Sociedad22nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
55%Real Sociedad win
24%Draw
21%Viktoria Plzeň win
The model gives Real Sociedad a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Viktoria Plzeň 21%. Real Sociedad's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 48%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 38%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Real Sociedad: top 8 | Real Sociedad: through | Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12% | 71% | 4% | 49% |
| Real Sociedad win | 18% | 83% | 2% | 38% |
| Draw | 6% | 62% | 4% | 53% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 3% | 48% | 12% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia