Celtic vs Marseille: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Celtic28th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Marseille32nd, 0 pts
32%Celtic win
26%Draw
42%Marseille win
The model gives Celtic a 32% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Marseille 42%. Celtic's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 38%. Marseille's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 70%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through | Marseille: top 8 | Marseille: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 52% | 22% | 82% |
| Celtic win | 13% | 73% | 9% | 70% |
| Draw | 4% | 51% | 16% | 80% |
| Marseille win | 2% | 38% | 36% | 93% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–07%
2–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia