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Lech Poznań vs Torreense: what's at stake in the Europa League?

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00

Lech Poznań35th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Torreense11th, 3 pts
53%Lech Poznań win
24%Draw
23%Torreense win

The model gives Lech Poznań a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Torreense 23%. Lech Poznań's chance of going through is 33% now: a win would take it to 46%, a defeat to 14%. Torreense's chance of going through is 60% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 48%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Lech Poznań: top 8Lech Poznań: throughTorreense: top 8Torreense: through
Now2%33%7%60%
Lech Poznań win3%46%3%48%
Draw1%22%6%63%
Torreense win<1%14%17%84%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

Other matchday 7 fixtures