Ferencváros vs Juventus: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
Ferencváros6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Juventus1st, 3 pts
20%Ferencváros win
23%Draw
56%Juventus win
The model gives Ferencváros a 20% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Juventus 56%. Ferencváros's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 77%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ferencváros: top 8 | Ferencváros: through | Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 20% | 83% | 81% | 99% |
| Ferencváros win | 42% | 96% | 63% | 98% |
| Draw | 21% | 86% | 75% | 99% |
| Juventus win | 12% | 77% | 90% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia