Levski Sofia vs Milan: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Levski Sofia27th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Milan30th, 0 pts
13%Levski Sofia win
19%Draw
67%Milan win
The model gives Levski Sofia a 13% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Milan 67%. Levski Sofia's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 46%, a defeat to 15%. Milan's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Levski Sofia: top 8 | Levski Sofia: through | Milan: top 8 | Milan: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 21% | 46% | 95% |
| Levski Sofia win | 3% | 46% | 20% | 85% |
| Draw | 1% | 23% | 30% | 91% |
| Milan win | <1% | 15% | 55% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia