AZ Alkmaar vs GNK Dinamo: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
AZ Alkmaar25th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
GNK Dinamo19th, 1 pts
54%AZ Alkmaar win
24%Draw
22%GNK Dinamo win
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and GNK Dinamo 22%. AZ Alkmaar's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 55%. GNK Dinamo's chance of going through is 54% now: a win would take it to 77%, a defeat to 43%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| AZ Alkmaar: top 8 | AZ Alkmaar: through | GNK Dinamo: top 8 | GNK Dinamo: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 75% | 6% | 54% |
| AZ Alkmaar win | 22% | 86% | 2% | 43% |
| Draw | 8% | 68% | 6% | 56% |
| GNK Dinamo win | 4% | 55% | 14% | 77% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia