Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Sparta Praha3rd, 3 pts
55%Crystal Palace win
24%Draw
21%Sparta Praha win
The model gives Crystal Palace a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Sparta Praha 21%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 77%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 45% | 94% | 23% | 83% |
| Crystal Palace win | 57% | 98% | 15% | 77% |
| Draw | 35% | 91% | 23% | 86% |
| Sparta Praha win | 24% | 85% | 44% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
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- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia