Olympiacos vs Hoffenheim: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
Olympiacos13th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Hoffenheim29th, 0 pts
44%Olympiacos win
26%Draw
30%Hoffenheim win
The model gives Olympiacos a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Hoffenheim 30%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. Hoffenheim's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 59%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | Hoffenheim: top 8 | Hoffenheim: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 91% | 14% | 71% |
| Olympiacos win | 52% | 97% | 6% | 59% |
| Draw | 29% | 90% | 11% | 71% |
| Hoffenheim win | 19% | 82% | 27% | 88% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia