Omonia vs Beşiktaş: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Omonia15th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Beşiktaş4th, 3 pts
28%Omonia win
26%Draw
46%Beşiktaş win
The model gives Omonia a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Beşiktaş 46%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 31%. Beşiktaş's chance of going through is 85% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 72%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | Beşiktaş: top 8 | Beşiktaş: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 46% | 25% | 85% |
| Omonia win | 9% | 70% | 12% | 72% |
| Draw | 2% | 45% | 18% | 83% |
| Beşiktaş win | 1% | 31% | 38% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros