Celje vs N.E.C. Nijmegen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Celje31st, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
34%Celje win
26%Draw
39%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
The model gives Celje a 34% chance of winning, a draw 26% and N.E.C. Nijmegen 39%. Celje's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 60%, a defeat to 24%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 45%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celje: top 8 | Celje: through | N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 40% | 9% | 63% |
| Celje win | 7% | 60% | 3% | 45% |
| Draw | 2% | 37% | 6% | 59% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 1% | 24% | 17% | 80% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros