OFI Crete vs Lech Poznań: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Lech Poznań35th, 0 pts
37%OFI Crete win
26%Draw
36%Lech Poznań win
The model gives OFI Crete a 37% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lech Poznań 36%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 31%. Lech Poznań's chance of going through is 33% now: a win would take it to 52%, a defeat to 18%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | Lech Poznań: top 8 | Lech Poznań: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% | 2% | 33% |
| OFI Crete win | 8% | 70% | <1% | 18% |
| Draw | 2% | 44% | 1% | 28% |
| Lech Poznań win | 1% | 31% | 4% | 52% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros