Juventus vs Real Sociedad: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Juventus1st, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Real Sociedad22nd, 0 pts
60%Juventus win
22%Draw
18%Real Sociedad win
The model gives Juventus a 60% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Real Sociedad 18%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. Real Sociedad's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 63%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | Real Sociedad: top 8 | Real Sociedad: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 81% | 99% | 12% | 71% |
| Juventus win | 89% | >99% | 7% | 63% |
| Draw | 73% | 99% | 13% | 75% |
| Real Sociedad win | 62% | 98% | 29% | 90% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros