GNK Dinamo vs Sturm Graz: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
GNK Dinamo19th, 1 pts
–Matchday 8
Sturm Graz20th, 1 pts
45%GNK Dinamo win
26%Draw
29%Sturm Graz win
The model gives GNK Dinamo a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sturm Graz 29%. GNK Dinamo's chance of going through is 54% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 34%. Sturm Graz's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 38%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| GNK Dinamo: top 8 | GNK Dinamo: through | Sturm Graz: top 8 | Sturm Graz: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 54% | 5% | 52% |
| GNK Dinamo win | 10% | 70% | 2% | 38% |
| Draw | 3% | 47% | 4% | 51% |
| Sturm Graz win | 2% | 34% | 12% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros