Hoffenheim vs Ferencváros: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Hoffenheim29th, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Ferencváros6th, 3 pts
55%Hoffenheim win
24%Draw
21%Ferencváros win
The model gives Hoffenheim a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Ferencváros 21%. Hoffenheim's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 51%. Ferencváros's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hoffenheim: top 8 | Hoffenheim: through | Ferencváros: top 8 | Ferencváros: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 71% | 20% | 83% |
| Hoffenheim win | 20% | 83% | 12% | 76% |
| Draw | 8% | 63% | 20% | 86% |
| Ferencváros win | 4% | 51% | 42% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia