Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Riga FCLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
Kairat AlmatyLeague phase not started yet
43%Riga FC win
26%Draw
31%Kairat Almaty win
The model gives Riga FC a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Kairat Almaty 31%. Riga FC's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 33%. Kairat Almaty's chance of going through is 43% now: a win would take it to 67%, a defeat to 26%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Riga FC: top 8 | Riga FC: through | Kairat Almaty: top 8 | Kairat Almaty: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 53% | 4% | 43% |
| Riga FC win | 14% | 72% | 1% | 26% |
| Draw | 4% | 46% | 2% | 40% |
| Kairat Almaty win | 2% | 33% | 10% | 67% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
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- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps