Egnatia vs Midtjylland: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
EgnatiaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
MidtjyllandLeague phase not started yet
19%Egnatia win
23%Draw
58%Midtjylland win
The model gives Egnatia a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Midtjylland 58%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 28%. Midtjylland's chance of going through is 92% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 80%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | Midtjylland: top 8 | Midtjylland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 40% | 47% | 92% |
| Egnatia win | 12% | 70% | 22% | 80% |
| Draw | 3% | 44% | 35% | 89% |
| Midtjylland win | 1% | 28% | 60% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps