Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Universitatea CraiovaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
GetafeLeague phase not started yet
28%Universitatea Craiova win
26%Draw
46%Getafe win
The model gives Universitatea Craiova a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Getafe 46%. Universitatea Craiova's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 52%. Getafe's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Universitatea Craiova: top 8 | Universitatea Craiova: through | Getafe: top 8 | Getafe: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13% | 66% | 42% | 91% |
| Universitatea Craiova win | 28% | 87% | 20% | 82% |
| Draw | 10% | 68% | 33% | 90% |
| Getafe win | 5% | 52% | 60% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps