Mjällby vs Inter Escaldes: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
MjällbyLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
Inter EscaldesLeague phase not started yet
67%Mjällby win
20%Draw
14%Inter Escaldes win
The model gives Mjällby a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Inter Escaldes 14%. Mjällby's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 55%. Inter Escaldes's chance of going through is 12% now: a win would take it to 35%, a defeat to 7%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Mjällby: top 8 | Mjällby: through | Inter Escaldes: top 8 | Inter Escaldes: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 79% | <1% | 12% |
| Mjällby win | 27% | 87% | <1% | 7% |
| Draw | 9% | 67% | <1% | 14% |
| Inter Escaldes win | 5% | 55% | 2% | 35% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps