Hearts vs Nordsjælland: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
HeartsLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
NordsjællandLeague phase not started yet
41%Hearts win
26%Draw
33%Nordsjælland win
The model gives Hearts a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Nordsjælland 33%. Hearts's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 48%. Nordsjælland's chance of going through is 72% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 57%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hearts: top 8 | Hearts: through | Nordsjælland: top 8 | Nordsjælland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 67% | 17% | 72% |
| Hearts win | 25% | 84% | 7% | 57% |
| Draw | 9% | 63% | 14% | 72% |
| Nordsjælland win | 4% | 48% | 32% | 90% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps