Napoli vs Club Brugge: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
Napoli28th, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Club Brugge23rd, 0 pts
58%Napoli win
23%Draw
19%Club Brugge win
The model gives Napoli a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Club Brugge 19%. Napoli's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 36% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 27%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Napoli: top 8 | Napoli: through | Club Brugge: top 8 | Club Brugge: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 90% | 1% | 36% |
| Napoli win | 30% | 96% | <1% | 27% |
| Draw | 12% | 86% | 1% | 38% |
| Club Brugge win | 6% | 76% | 4% | 62% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille