Manchester United vs Leipzig: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
Manchester United4th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Leipzig32nd, 0 pts
48%Manchester United win
25%Draw
26%Leipzig win
The model gives Manchester United a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Leipzig 26%. Manchester United's chance of going through is 86% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 74%. Leipzig's chance of going through is 57% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 44%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Manchester United: top 8 | Manchester United: through | Leipzig: top 8 | Leipzig: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 19% | 86% | 4% | 57% |
| Manchester United win | 29% | 95% | 1% | 44% |
| Draw | 13% | 83% | 2% | 58% |
| Leipzig win | 8% | 74% | 10% | 79% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille