Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
Aston Villa11th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Paris Saint-Germain1st, 3 pts
23%Aston Villa win
25%Draw
52%Paris Saint-Germain win
The model gives Aston Villa a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Paris Saint-Germain 52%. Aston Villa's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 93%. Paris Saint-Germain's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 99%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Aston Villa: top 8 | Aston Villa: through | Paris Saint-Germain: top 8 | Paris Saint-Germain: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 34% | 95% | 74% | 99% |
| Aston Villa win | 59% | 99% | 53% | 99% |
| Draw | 34% | 96% | 68% | 99% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 23% | 93% | 86% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille