Borussia Dortmund vs Inter: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
Borussia Dortmund12th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Inter26th, 0 pts
33%Borussia Dortmund win
26%Draw
41%Inter win
The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Inter 41%. Borussia Dortmund's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 92%. Inter's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 91%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Borussia Dortmund: top 8 | Borussia Dortmund: through | Inter: top 8 | Inter: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 34% | 95% | 36% | 95% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 55% | 99% | 19% | 91% |
| Draw | 31% | 96% | 30% | 95% |
| Inter win | 20% | 92% | 55% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille