AEK Athens vs Galatasaray: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
AEK Athens16th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Galatasaray29th, 0 pts
31%AEK Athens win
26%Draw
43%Galatasaray win
The model gives AEK Athens a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Galatasaray 43%. AEK Athens's chance of going through is 42% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 26%. Galatasaray's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 25%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| AEK Athens: top 8 | AEK Athens: through | Galatasaray: top 8 | Galatasaray: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 42% | 2% | 44% |
| AEK Athens win | 4% | 68% | <1% | 25% |
| Draw | 1% | 39% | 1% | 37% |
| Galatasaray win | <1% | 26% | 3% | 62% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille