Liverpool vs Porto: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
Liverpool14th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Porto31st, 0 pts
67%Liverpool win
20%Draw
14%Porto win
The model gives Liverpool a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Porto 14%. Liverpool's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 54%. Porto's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 61%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Liverpool: top 8 | Liverpool: through | Porto: top 8 | Porto: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 77% | >99% | 6% | 66% |
| Liverpool win | 85% | >99% | 3% | 61% |
| Draw | 66% | 99% | 7% | 71% |
| Porto win | 54% | 99% | 19% | 87% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille