Stuttgart vs Lille: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
Stuttgart7th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Lille24th, 0 pts
47%Stuttgart win
26%Draw
28%Lille win
The model gives Stuttgart a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lille 28%. Stuttgart's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. Lille's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 33%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Stuttgart: top 8 | Stuttgart: through | Lille: top 8 | Lille: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 20% | 88% | 2% | 47% |
| Stuttgart win | 31% | 96% | <1% | 33% |
| Draw | 13% | 85% | 1% | 46% |
| Lille win | 8% | 76% | 5% | 70% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid