PSV Eindhoven vs Atlético de Madrid: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
PSV Eindhoven20th, 1 pts
–Matchday 6
Atlético de Madrid25th, 0 pts
31%PSV Eindhoven win
26%Draw
43%Atlético de Madrid win
The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Atlético de Madrid 43%. PSV Eindhoven's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 53%. Atlético de Madrid's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 80%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| PSV Eindhoven: top 8 | PSV Eindhoven: through | Atlético de Madrid: top 8 | Atlético de Madrid: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 66% | 22% | 89% |
| PSV Eindhoven win | 14% | 85% | 9% | 80% |
| Draw | 4% | 67% | 16% | 88% |
| Atlético de Madrid win | 2% | 53% | 35% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Lille