LASK vs Fenerbahçe: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
LASK27th, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Fenerbahçe19th, 1 pts
26%LASK win
25%Draw
49%Fenerbahçe win
The model gives LASK a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Fenerbahçe 49%. LASK's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 26%, a defeat to 5%. Fenerbahçe's chance of going through is 59% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 37%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| LASK: top 8 | LASK: through | Fenerbahçe: top 8 | Fenerbahçe: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 11% | 4% | 59% |
| LASK win | <1% | 26% | 1% | 37% |
| Draw | <1% | 9% | 2% | 51% |
| Fenerbahçe win | <1% | 5% | 7% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille