Barcelona vs Manchester City: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
Barcelona3rd, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Manchester City8th, 3 pts
48%Barcelona win
25%Draw
26%Manchester City win
The model gives Barcelona a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Manchester City 26%. Barcelona's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. Manchester City's chance of going through is 98% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Barcelona: top 8 | Barcelona: through | Manchester City: top 8 | Manchester City: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 69% | 99% | 54% | 98% |
| Barcelona win | 83% | >99% | 41% | 97% |
| Draw | 62% | 99% | 54% | 99% |
| Manchester City win | 50% | 98% | 76% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille