Feyenoord vs Porto: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 5 · Tuesday 24 November, 21:00
Feyenoord33rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Porto31st, 0 pts
36%Feyenoord win
26%Draw
38%Porto win
The model gives Feyenoord a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Porto 38%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 31%. Porto's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 50%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Feyenoord: top 8 | Feyenoord: through | Porto: top 8 | Porto: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 47% | 6% | 66% |
| Feyenoord win | 6% | 68% | 2% | 50% |
| Draw | 1% | 43% | 4% | 64% |
| Porto win | 1% | 31% | 12% | 83% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United