Sabah vs Barcelona: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Wednesday 25 November, 18:45
Sabah34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Barcelona3rd, 3 pts
4%Sabah win
10%Draw
86%Barcelona win
The model gives Sabah a 4% chance of winning, a draw 10% and Barcelona 86%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 11%, a defeat to 1%. Barcelona's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 96%. The most likely score is 0–3 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sabah: top 8 | Sabah: through | Barcelona: top 8 | Barcelona: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2% | 69% | 99% |
| Sabah win | <1% | 11% | 39% | 96% |
| Draw | 0% | 2% | 49% | 98% |
| Barcelona win | 0% | 1% | 73% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–313%
0–213%
0–410%
0–18%
1–37%
1–27%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United