Knockout Math
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Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 5 · Tuesday 24 November, 21:00

–Matchday 5
Real Betis9th, 3 pts
21%Slovan Bratislava win
24%Draw
55%Real Betis win

The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 21% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Real Betis 55%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 27%, a defeat to 6%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 64%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Slovan Bratislava: top 8Slovan Bratislava: throughReal Betis: top 8Real Betis: through
Now<1%11%12%82%
Slovan Bratislava win<1%27%4%64%
Draw<1%10%7%75%
Real Betis win<1%6%18%91%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

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