Slavia Praha vs Villarreal: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Wednesday 25 November, 18:45
Slavia Praha22nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Villarreal21st, 0 pts
29%Slavia Praha win
26%Draw
45%Villarreal win
The model gives Slavia Praha a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Villarreal 45%. Slavia Praha's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 40%, a defeat to 11%. Villarreal's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 43%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Slavia Praha: top 8 | Slavia Praha: through | Villarreal: top 8 | Villarreal: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 21% | 5% | 63% |
| Slavia Praha win | 1% | 40% | 1% | 43% |
| Draw | <1% | 17% | 2% | 56% |
| Villarreal win | <1% | 11% | 8% | 80% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
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- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United