Inter vs Stuttgart: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Wednesday 25 November, 21:00
Inter26th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Stuttgart7th, 3 pts
63%Inter win
21%Draw
16%Stuttgart win
The model gives Inter a 63% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Stuttgart 16%. Inter's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. Stuttgart's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 84%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Inter: top 8 | Inter: through | Stuttgart: top 8 | Stuttgart: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 95% | 20% | 88% |
| Inter win | 47% | 98% | 13% | 84% |
| Draw | 23% | 93% | 23% | 91% |
| Stuttgart win | 13% | 86% | 44% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United