Atlético de Madrid vs Viking: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 5 · Wednesday 25 November, 21:00
Atlético de Madrid25th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Viking30th, 0 pts
81%Atlético de Madrid win
13%Draw
6%Viking win
The model gives Atlético de Madrid a 81% chance of winning, a draw 13% and Viking 6%. Atlético de Madrid's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 68%. Viking's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 35%, a defeat to 7%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Atlético de Madrid: top 8 | Atlético de Madrid: through | Viking: top 8 | Viking: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 22% | 89% | <1% | 10% |
| Atlético de Madrid win | 26% | 92% | <1% | 7% |
| Draw | 9% | 79% | <1% | 13% |
| Viking win | 5% | 68% | 1% | 35% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United