Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 4 · Wednesday 4 November, 21:00
Borussia Dortmund12th, 3 pts
–Matchday 4
Real Betis9th, 3 pts
54%Borussia Dortmund win
24%Draw
22%Real Betis win
The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Real Betis 22%. Borussia Dortmund's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 75%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Borussia Dortmund: top 8 | Borussia Dortmund: through | Real Betis: top 8 | Real Betis: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 34% | 95% | 12% | 82% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 46% | 99% | 6% | 75% |
| Draw | 24% | 94% | 12% | 84% |
| Real Betis win | 15% | 88% | 28% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP
- Galatasaray – Stuttgart
- Atlético de Madrid – Bayern München
- Barcelona – Aston Villa
- Feyenoord – Inter
- Bodø/Glimt – Lille
- LASK – Slovan Bratislava
- Manchester United – Roma
- Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
- AEK Athens – Real Madrid
- Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
- Porto – Napoli
- PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge
- Leipzig – Manchester City
- Lens – Como
- Slavia Praha – Arsenal
- Viking – Sabah