Knockout Math
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LASK vs Slovan Bratislava: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 4 · Tuesday 3 November, 21:00

LASK27th, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
47%LASK win
26%Draw
28%Slovan Bratislava win

The model gives LASK a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Slovan Bratislava 28%. LASK's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 19%, a defeat to 3%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 24%, a defeat to 5%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

LASK: top 8LASK: throughSlovan Bratislava: top 8Slovan Bratislava: through
Now<1%11%<1%11%
LASK win<1%19%<1%5%
Draw<1%6%<1%9%
Slovan Bratislava win<1%3%<1%24%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

Other matchday 4 fixtures