Knockout Math
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Feyenoord vs Inter: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 4 · Tuesday 3 November, 21:00

Feyenoord33rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Inter26th, 0 pts
21%Feyenoord win
24%Draw
55%Inter win

The model gives Feyenoord a 21% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Inter 55%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 37%. Inter's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Feyenoord: top 8Feyenoord: throughInter: top 8Inter: through
Now3%47%36%95%
Feyenoord win8%71%15%88%
Draw2%49%26%94%
Inter win1%37%49%98%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

Other matchday 4 fixtures