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Champions League matchday 2: what every team needs

← Champions League: full table and chances

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Champions League matchday 2 is played on 13 October across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for AEK Athens: a win would lift their chances of going through to 69%, a defeat would drop them to 29%.

Matchday 2 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Tue 13 Oct, 18:45 Lens – Sporting CP 37% · 26% · 37%
  2. Tue 13 Oct, 18:45 Sabah – Slavia Praha 24% · 25% · 51%
  3. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Arsenal – Lille 75% · 16% · 9%
  4. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United 51% · 25% · 24%
  5. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Galatasaray – Barcelona 18% · 22% · 60%
  6. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Inter – Club Brugge 67% · 20% · 13%
  7. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven 43% · 26% · 31%
  8. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Viking – Bayern München 5% · 12% · 83%
  9. Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 Villarreal – Napoli 36% · 26% · 38%
  10. Wed 14 Oct, 18:45 Feyenoord – Como 37% · 26% · 37%
  11. Wed 14 Oct, 18:45 LASK – Liverpool 7% · 14% · 79%
  12. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe 59% · 22% · 18%
  13. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund 28% · 26% · 46%
  14. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain 35% · 26% · 38%
  15. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Real Betis – Porto 43% · 26% · 31%
  16. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Roma – Real Madrid 22% · 24% · 54%
  17. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens 46% · 26% · 28%
  18. Wed 14 Oct, 21:00 Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart 19% · 23% · 59%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
AEK AthensShakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens44%69%29%
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens45%63%25%
LeipzigLeipzig – PSV Eindhoven51%68%32%
Bodø/GlimtBodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund40%63%27%
VillarrealVillarreal – Napoli62%81%45%

Frequently asked questions

When is Champions League matchday 2 played?

On 13 October, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 2?

AEK Athens. A win lifts their chances of going through to 69%, a defeat drops them to 29% — a swing of about 40 percentage points.

What does the table look like before matchday 2?

Paris Saint-Germain lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Champions League page.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 16 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays